The blogosphere is all a-twitter with the upcoming attempt by the Republican majority in the House of Representatives to repeal the health care legislation passed last year. Pundits of all stripes are taking finger to keyboard to put in their two cents about what will occur, what will not occur, and what the effects will or won’t be.
However, we’ve already gone through this exercise, so in the spirit of veridiction (my name for the practice of verifying predictions), let me go through some newspaper clippings from 2010 to see what a sample of the prognosticators said back then.
In a March 13, 2010, op-ed piece in The Washington Post, Joel Benenson, president and co-founder of Benenson Strategy Group (and identified by the Post as the lead pollster for President Obama) writes about the poll numbers of various surveys that show that solid majorites of Americans support central components of the legislation when they are spelled out.
However, it is Benenson’s last two paragraphs where he ventures into divining the future when he writes that…
It is no accident that Republican leaders are warning Democrats of dire political consequences if health reform passes.
But there is every reason to believe that for Republicans, the negative consequences will be their own.
If by “negative consequence”, Benenson meant a takeover of the House of Representatives by the GOP in the 2010 mid-term elections, then he was right….but I don’t think that’s what he meant.
Likewise, Dana Milbank, in his column for the Post on March 21, 2010, also wrote to warn the GOP that “…the politics of repeal may not work out as well as Republicans expect.”
Taking this quote from former governor of Massachusetts Mitt Romney, who said…
The American people will not stand for this bill becoming law. The American people will be with us and they will throw those guys out.
…Milbank scoffs at Romney’s predicition by invoking a campaign speech by Alf Landon in 1936 urging repeal of Social Security.
Uh…Romney 1, Milbank 0.
Or to be more precise…GOP 242, DEM 193 going into the 112th Congress.