Here’s The Thing.
It really is a wonderful find as Mr. Baldwin interviews fascinating personalities. I have listened to his podcasts with Chris Rock, Kathleen Turner, Michael Douglas, and Lorne Micheals and have been amazed at the ease with which Mr. Baldwin speaks with his guests and they open up to him. I really do feel like I’m eavesdropping on a private conversation.
While it would be easy to say that this level of friendliness is due to the fact that all the people mentioned above are in the show-biz game, Mr. Baldwin has interviewed non-entertainment types and the level of comfortableness seems to be the same.
Case in point was the November 7, 2011, podcast with political consultant and advisor Ed Rollins. Despite being on opposite ends of the ideological spectrum, host and guest were extremely amiable and I was even able to learn something new about the political process.
However, since this post is categorized under “Veridiction” and even has that word (my name for the practice of verifying predictions) in this post’s title, that can only mean that Mr. Rollins made a prediction back in November (or even earlier depending on how soon or late Mr. Baldwin releases his podcasts).
The following exchange happens during the interview when talking about the Republican primaries:
Baldwin: Who will win South Carolina?
Rollins: Whoever wins Iowa.
A straightforward prediction so let’s see what happened.
The GOP primary in South Carolina was won by former Speaker of the House of Representative Newt Gingrich.
The winner of the Republican caucus in Iowa two weeks earlier was nearly a tie between former Senator Rick Santorum and former governor of Massachusetts Mitt Romney.
Mr. Rollins prediction counts as a fail, and an odd fail at that. This was a rare primary cycle where a pair of candidates “won” the Iowa caucus and even with that, Mr. Rollins erred in his prediction as to the winner of the South Carolina contest.
No doubt about it. Even for the experts, this prediction game is hard stuff.