In May, I posted an item about predictions being made about the medal count for the Summer Olympics being held in London.
The first prediction I wrote about came courtesy of Nick Zaccardi of Sports Illustrated. Zaccardi makes ten guesses about what will happen once the Olympic Cauldron is lit. You can find out how he did with his ten by jumping to his article. For this post, I am only interested in his first prediction where he states that The United States will not lead the medal table in London.
The US garnered the most medals as they picked up 104 to the 88 earned by second-place China.
In my research for this post, I also found an article that predicted the medal count by taking into account the country’s size, wealth, and culture.
Meghan Busse from the Kellogg School of Management at Northwestern University predicted that the States would earn 51 medals (and was off by 103%). Dan Johnson of Colorado College thought that the stars-and-stripes would pick up 99 (and was only off by 5%).
As for me, I would be nowhere near the medal podium for my guesses.
Two months before the Games, I surmised that the United States would win 112 (and overshot by 7%). France, according to my crystal ball, would pick up 43 (the tri-color only garnered 34, so I was over by 26%). I only expected Japan to win 27 medals and they achieved 38 (a miss of 28%). South African athletes, my final prediction went, would come home with 4 medals (they brought back 6, an under-guess of 33%).
Based on the above, I give the gold medal to Dan Johnson.