Now that the 2012 Presidential election is over and most of the votes have been tabulated, it’s time to get down to the serious business of looking at all the talking heads and see how their prognostications worked out.
Our first look to the 2012 Election edition of veridiction (my name for the process of verifying predictions) comes from former Speaker of the House of Representatives and former candidate for the Republican nomination in 2012, Newt Gingrich.
On October 26 of this year, less than two weeks before the election, Mr. Gingrich made the following prediction…
I believe the minimum result will be 53-47 Romney, over 300 electoral votes, and the Republicans will pick up the Senate…
This may be a first in my collection of veridictions, but this call from the former Representative from Georgia is a reverse-hat-trick where he gets all three guesses wrong.
1) The share of the popular vote did not break “53-47” for Governor Romney, but instead President Obama won more votes nationally (as of this writing).
2) The Republican challenger did not earn over 300 electoral votes. Depending on how Florida falls, Governor Romney will finish the election with 235 or 206 possible votes in the Electoral College.
3) The Democrats remain in control of the Senate. In fact, when all the tabulation was done, the Democratic Party picked up two seats in the upper chamber of Congress.